With high pressure still in control of our weather most have enjoyed a beautiful, warm day. There are a few small showers across central Alabama but that activity will look to calm down early this evening. So expect a warm evening as temperatures cool. Tonight should be comfortable once again as skies remain mostly clear. Overnight lows will be in the mid 70s.
Dry air will continue to flow into central and southern Alabama tomorrow thanks to strong upper-level ridging dominates. Better moisture values over north Alabama will likely lead to a few showers for the Birmingham area and points north during the afternoon. But for our section of the state, it looks like we'll have another hot and sunny day. Afternoon highs will be in the low to mid 90s. We did leave a small 10% rain chance, but the expectation is for most of the area to remain dry.
Not much changes this weekend as the ridge of high pressure stays relatively close by. It will be interesting how this ridge will impact the activity we've been monitory in the Tropics. The ridge will make it difficult for any tropical system to make a poleward movement. The models are not showing any consensus with the tropical wave currently moving through the Bahamas. Satellite wind data and reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft this morning indicate that the system still lacks a closed circulation, and that the strongest winds associated with the system likely have decreased to below tropical storm strength. The broad low pressure associated with a tropical wave is moving westward at 15 to 20 mph through the southeastern Bahamas. As of today the disturbances has a 40% chance of development over the next 2 days, and a 70% chances over the next 5 days. So until there's a better agreement between models we'll not show any impacts from this tropical system in our extended forecast.
Vernon Turner, WSFA First Alert Meteorologist
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